14:The Speech About lBM IBM总裁杰斯特尼演讲

Good evening! It is a great honor for me to share this stage with the Lord Mayor, chief executive of Hannover, with Mr. Yang, and in a few minutes with Chancellor Kohl.

各位晚上好!非常荣幸能够与汉诺威市市长、Yang 先生共同出席今晚的会议,非常荣幸能与科尔总理共同度过这个美好的夜晚。

I have been looking forward to this evening for a long time, because I have known for many years how important CeBIT is to the global Information Technology industry.

我一直在盼望今晚的到来,因为很多年以前我就知道 CeBIT 对全球信息技术产业有多么重要。

So before I go any further I want to thank you very much for inviting me to participate in this important forum.


Now I have given a lot of thought as to what I would say to you this evening. On the one hand, I am here as a representative of the Information Technology industry on the event that is bigger by orders of magnitude than any other technology exhibit.


That is quite a statement in a industry that is good at many things, especially celebrating its own creations.

我们的工业是一个对很多事情都很拿手 的工业,尤其善于庆祝其自己的创造发明。

On the other hand, like most of you, I have spent most of my professional life as a customer of this industry.


So I know that after the splash and promises comes the harsh light of morning and often the customer is left standing alone wondering what happened, or as the head of one of our most important German customers put it, "Yours is an industry that is very good at weddings and not so good at marriages."


So tonight, while I will talk about the power and potential of Information Technology, I hope the temper of my remarks with the perspective I had when I came to IBM five years ago, the perspective of a customer.

因此,虽然今晚我要谈谈信息技术的力量和潜力,但是我希望我能够象五年前刚到 IBM 时一样,站在消费者的立场上表达我的观点。

Now it is certainly easy to see why raw technology dominates these events. It is adoptive; it is breathtaking; and it is penetrating every aspect of our lives.


Today there are more PCs sold annually in the world than TVs or cars. The typical luxury automobile today has 20 to 30 microprocessors in it, more computing power by far than was inside the landing-craft that took the first astronauts to the moon.

现在全世界每年销售的 PC 数量比电视机和汽车多。今天典型的豪华汽车中有 20 到 30 个微处理器,比那个把第一批宇航员送上月球的登月飞船的计算能力还强。

Last year there were five times more E-mail messages sent than the number of pieces of paper mail delivered worldwide, 2.7 trillion E-mails.

去年全球发送的电子邮件数量比传统的纸邮件数量多五倍,达到 27000 亿封。我的信箱容量就总是不够用。我们还可以从另外一个角度看看现在都发生了些什么事。

And I got more than my share. There is another way to look at what is going on. In the mid-1970s, the first super computers appeared.


They were capable of about 100 million calculations per second. And they cost about one million dollars. Today the laptop computer that college students carry in their bags, packs, is twice as fast as that first super computer, and it costs less than 3000 dollars.

而如今大学生的书包里装着的膝上型计算机的计算能力是那种超级计算机的两倍,价格却只有不到 3000 美元。数据存储技术的发展趋势更是令人瞠目。

The trend in data storage is even more impressive. In the early 80s, the standard unit of computer storage, one mega-byte, or one million bytes of information, cost about 100 dollars. Today, it is 10 cents. In two years, it will cost 2 cents. T

八十年代初期,一个标准单位的计算机存储能力,即 1MB,或者说 1 百万字节,售价是 100 美元,而现在却只要 10 美分,两年内还将降到 2 美分。

hese gains are driven by continuous advances in how we pack information into smaller and smaller spaces.


If the US Library of Congress could shrink its collections of 17 million books by the same factor we just discussed, it could replace 800 kilometers of shelf space with less than 40 meters of space.

如果把这种技术用到美国国会图书馆的 1700 百万册存书上,其书架长度将由 800 公里变成不到 40 米。

These advances are going to continue and accelerate the rate microprocessors, storage, communications, memory, and all the other engines that are propelling this industry or continue to lead to the products of the faster, smaller, and less expensive, just as they have for 30 years.


But as we stand here today, the opening of CeBIT, we are on the threshold of a very important change and the evolution of this industry.

过去 30 年的情况就是如此。然而当我们今天站在这里,出席 CeBIT 的开幕式的时候,我们面对的是一场业界非常重要的变化和革命。

In many ways, this industry, a very emitory industry, is about to play out in its most important dimension. That is because the technology has become so powerful and so pervasive that its future impact on people and governments and all institutions will dwarf what has happened today.




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