TED演讲之伟大预言 汉斯·罗素林:东方崛起(4)
And we will see, you know. Look here, 1858, India was here, China was here, Japan was there, United States and United Kingdom was richer over there.
正如你们所料一样。1858年，印度和中国是在这里，日本则在那里。美国和英国则更是在那边。
And I will start the world like this. India was not always like this level.
世界将从这样开始。印度以前不是这样的。
Actually if we go back into the historical record, there was a time hundreds of years ago when the income per person in India and China was even above that of Europe.
让我们回想百年以前的印度和中国，那时，两国的人均收入是比欧洲的水平还高。
But 1850 had already been many, many years of foreign domination, and India had been de-industrialized.
然而，在1850年时，两国已饱受多年的外国侵略，何况印度的工业能力还被削弱。
And you can see that the countries who were growing their economy was United States and United Kingdom.
而经济正在发展的国家则是英美两国。
And they were also, by the end of the century, getting healthy, and Japan was starting to catch up.
在十九世纪末时，他们的国民身体素质也得以改善，至于日本则开始奋起直追。
India was trying down here. Can you see how it starts to move there?
偏偏印度还深陷泥沼。你们可以看见他的确是在动吗？
But really, really natural sovereignty was good for Japan. And Japan is trying to move up there.
国家主权完整使日本受益匪浅。日本一直在尝试赶上去。
And it's the new century now. Health is getting better, United Kingdom, United States.
新世界到了。英美两国的国民身体素质更加强化了。
But careful now — we are approaching the First World War. And the First World War, you know, we'll see a lot of deaths and economical problems here.
但要小心，一战的脚步已经近了。正如你所料，在一战期间会爆发很多经济问题和导致死亡。
United Kingdom is going down. And now comes the Spanish flu also. And then after the First World War, they continue up.
英国在走下坡路。西班牙流感又接踵而来。一战后，他们继续向上攀升。
Still under foreign domination, and without sovereignty, India and China are down in the corner. Not much has happened.
印中两国由于仍被外来政权统治着，因此他们还在下面的角落里。无甚变化。
They have grown their population but not much more. In the 1930's now, you can see that Japan is going to a period of war, with lower life expectancy.
只是人口有所增加罢了。现在到了三十年代，日本正处于战争时期，国民寿命普遍低下。
And the Second World War was really a terrible event, also economically for Japan.
二战对日本来说，尤其在经济上，是一场噩梦。
But they did recover quite fast afterwards. And we are moving into the new world.
但战后他们恢复的相对迅速。我们正迈向新世界。
In 1947 India finally gained its independence. And they could raise the Indian flag and become a sovereign nation, but in very big difficulties down there.
印度终于于1947年成独立国家。他们可以升起他们自己的国旗并且成为一主权国家，却仍举步维艰。
演讲简介：
汉斯·罗素林曾在印度学习，那时，他意料到亚洲可以重夺其经济霸主地位。在TED印度，他用他神奇的泡泡图表来预测中印两国何时会赶超美国。
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