TED演讲:为什么智能统计数据是打击犯罪的关键(1)

In 2007, I became the attorney general of the state of New Jersey. 2007年,我担任了新泽西州的司法部长。 Before that, I'd been a criminal prosecutor, first in the Manhattan district attorney's office, 在那之前,我曾是一名刑事检察官,先是在曼哈顿地区检查官办公室, and then at the United States Department of Justice. 后来是在国家司法部。 But when I became the attorney g...

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TED演讲:为什么智能统计数据是打击犯罪的关键(4)

And all of this matters greatly, because public safety to me is the most important function of government. 所有这些事项都很重要,因为我认为,保证公共安全是政府最重要的职能。 If we're not safe, we can't be educated, we can't be healthy, we can't do any of the other things we want to do in our lives. 如果人身安全无法保证,我们就不能接受教育,就不能保持身体健康...

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TED演讲:为什么智能统计数据是打击犯罪的关键(2)

The second thing that happened is that I spent the day in the Camden, New Jersey police department. 第二件事是我在卡姆登的新泽西州警察局耗了一天。 Now, at that time, Camden, New Jersey, was the most dangerous city in America. 当时,新泽西州的卡姆登是美国最危险的城市。 I ran the Camden Police Department because of that. 我跑了一趟卡姆登警察局就是因为这个原因。 I spent the day...

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TED演讲:为什么智能统计数据是打击犯罪的关键(7)

In the tool that we've built, what we did was we collected 1.5 million cases from all around the United States, 在这个已经建立的这个工具里,我们收集了150万个案件,来自美国各地, from cities, from counties, from every single state in the country, the federal districts. 包括城市,县,国内的每个州,联邦区。 And with those 1.5 million cases, which is the largest data set on ...

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TED演讲:为什么智能统计数据是打击犯罪的关键(8)

Now I want to say something really important. 现在我想说些非常重要的事。 It's not that I think we should be eliminating the judge's instinct and experience from this process. 在整个过程中,我不认为应该排除法官的直觉和经验。 I don't. I actually believe the problem that we see and the reason that we have these incredible system errors, 我不这样想。事实上,我相信我...

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TED演讲:为什么智能统计数据是打击犯罪的关键(6)

The people who we find are the highest-risk offenders, 那些我们抓获的高危险罪犯, the people who we think have the highest likelihood of committing a new crime if they're released, 那些被认为一旦释放会有极高的可能性再次犯罪的人, we see nationally that 50 percent of those people are being released. 在全国范围内,其中的50%正在回归社会。 The reason for this is the way we m...

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TED演讲:为什么智能统计数据是打击犯罪的关键(3)

When I became attorney general, I could look at the system as a whole, 后来我成为司法部长,我可以全面的观察整个司法系统, and what surprised me is that I found that that was exactly how we were doing it across the entire system, 令人吃惊的是我发现我们的这种做法恰恰适用于整个司法系统, in police departments, in prosecutors's offices, in courts and in jails. 包括警察部门,...

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TED演讲:为什么智能统计数据是打击犯罪的关键(5)

So I decided to focus on using data and analytics to help make the most critical decision in public safety, 所以我决定将重点集中在使用数据和分析以帮助作出最关键的判断在公共安全方面, and that decision is the determination of whether, when someone has been arrested, 这一决定是判断已经被逮捕的某个人, whether they pose a risk to public safety and should be detained, 是否会对公...

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