TED演讲之伟大预言 伯特·鲁坦: 预见太空未来(4)

Talk very briefly about innovation cycles, things that grow, have a lot of activity; they die out when they’re replaced by something else. 简短地谈一下发明创造的周期,周期发展时会衍生许多活动,当这些活动被其他活动取代,此周期就灭亡了。 These things tend to happen every 25 years. 40 years long, with an overlap. You can put that statement on all kinds of different...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 马丁·里斯:这是我们最后的世纪吗?(8)

The planet became an intense emitter of radio waves — the total output from all TV and cell phones and radar transmissions. 地球开始发射出强烈的电磁波 – 其来源是所有的电视,手机和雷达信号传输。 And something else happened. Metallic objects — albeit very small ones, a few tons at most — escaped into orbit around the Earth. 另外还有一些景象出...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 彼得·迪曼蒂斯: 我们的未来将会是富足的(4)

Four years ago here at TED, Ray Kurzweil and I started a new university called Singularity University. 四年前在TED,雷·库兹威尔和我创立了一所新的大学,叫做“Singularity University”。 And we teach our students all of these technologies, and particularly how they can be used to solve humanity’s grand challenges. 我们教给学生各种科技,特别是如何利用这些科技来解决...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 马丁·里斯:这是我们最后的世纪吗?(2)

On a still bigger scale, we see entire galaxies of stars. We see entire ecosystems where gas is being recycled. 在更大的范围里,我们看到恒星组成的星系。我们看到完整的生态系统,看到气体被回收利用。 And to the cosmologist, these galaxies are just the atoms, as it were, of the large-scale universe. 对于宇宙学家来说,这些星系只不过是组成大规模宇宙空间的原子。 This p...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 马丁·里斯:这是我们最后的世纪吗?(1)

If you take 10,000 people at random, 9,999 have something in common: their interests in business lie on or near the Earth’s surface. 如果你随机挑选出10000个人,其中的9999个人会有如下共性:他们对商业的兴趣显而易见。 The odd one out is an astronomer, and I am one of that strange breed. My talk will be in two parts. 余下的那位怪人是天文学家,而我就是这个奇特物种...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 马克·古德曼:展望未来犯罪(9)

Whether or not you realize it, we are at the dawn of a technological arms race, 不论你们是否意识到,我们即将迎来一场科技军备竞赛, an arms race between people who are using technology for good and those who are using it for ill. 这场军备竞赛的双方,是运用科技行善的一方和滥用科技作恶的一方, The threat is serious, and the time to prepare for it is now. I can assu...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 彼得·迪曼蒂斯: 我们的未来将会是富足的(5)

So let’s project this analogy going forward. We think about energy scarcity. 让我们把这个比喻应用到其他方面,让我们想一想能源短缺。 Ladies and gentlemen, we are on a planet that is bathed with 5,000 times more energy than we use in a year. 女士们先生们,我们生活的这个星球上接收着相当于我们年平均能源消耗5000多倍的能量。 16 terawatts of energy hits the Earth...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 伯特·鲁坦: 预见太空未来(6)

Not the bank’s computer or Lockheed’s computer, but the home computer was for games. 不是银行的电脑或洛克希德导弹与航天公司的电脑,家用电脑是用于游戏的。 For a whole decade it was for fun — we didn’t even know what it was for. 对于整整一代来说,它是用于消遣–我们甚至不知道它是用于做什么的。 But what happened, the fact that we had thi...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 伯特·鲁坦: 预见太空未来(5)

Well, first of all, what’s going to happen next? The first industry will be a high volume, a lot of players. 那么,首先,接下来会发生什么?第一产业将会数量巨大,参与者众多。 There’s another one announced just last week. And it will be sub-orbital. 上周有另一个公司宣布它们可以。这次飞行将会是亚轨道。 And the reason it has to be sub-orbital is, there i...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 马克·古德曼:展望未来犯罪(5)

As we move forward, we’ll see new technologies also, like the Internet of Things. 随着人类社会向前发展,我们也会见证很多新科技的诞生,比如物联网。 Every day we’re connecting more and more of our lives to the Internet, which means that the Internet of Things will soon be the Internet of Things To Be Hacked. 我们日复一日地将越来越多的个人生活与网络相连,...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 伯特·鲁坦: 预见太空未来(9)

I think what we’ll do is we’ll see a successful, very successful, private space flight industry. 我认为我们要做的会让我们看到成功的,非常成功的私人太空飞船行业。 Whether we’re first or not really doesn’t matter. The Russians actually flew a supersonic transport before the Concorde. 无论我们是否是第一个真的并不重要。苏联人实际上在飞协和式飞机...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 马丁·里斯:这是我们最后的世纪吗?(4)

Well, let’s go back to this picture. There’s one challenge symbolized at the top, but there’s another challenge to science symbolized at the bottom. 好吧,让我们回到这张图片。在其上部有一个符号化了的科学挑战。而在其下部同样有一个符号化了的科学挑战。 You want to not only synthesize the very large and the very small, but we want to understand the very ...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 马克·古德曼:展望未来犯罪(3)

We all worry about our privacy settings on Facebook, but the fact of the matter is, our openness can be used against us. 我们都为我们在Facebook上的隐私设置感到烦恼,但是问题的实际情况在于,我们的坦率可能会被用来伤害我们自己。 Terrorists are doing this. A search engine can determine who shall live and who shall die. This is the world that we live in. 恐怖分子正在这...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 伯特·鲁坦: 预见太空未来(7)

They were inspired by big progress. But look at the progress that’s going on after that. 他们被巨大的进步所鼓舞。但看看那之后的进步。 There were a couple of examples here. The military fighters had a — highest-performance military airplane was the SR71. 这里有两个例子。军事战斗机有一架最高性能的空军飞机是SR71。 It went a whole life cycle, got too rus...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 凯文·凯利:谈未来5000天后的网络世界(1)

The Internet, the Web as we know it, the kind of Web — the things we’re all talking about — is already less than 5,000 days old. 互联网,又称网络,我们所说的网络,其历史还不到5000天。 So all of the things that we’ve seen come about, starting, say, with satellite images of the whole Earth, 这期间发生的所有事情,比如整个地球的卫星图片, whi...

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TED演讲之伟大预言 伯特·鲁坦: 预见太空未来(8)

You remember the space race in the ’60s was for national prestige, because we lost the first two milestones. 你们还记得60年代的太空竞赛是为了国家的声誉,因为我们丢失了最初的两个里程碑。 We didn’t lose them technically. The fact that we had the hardware to put something in orbit when we let Von Braun fly it — you can argue that’s not a technical...

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TED演讲:如何帮助年轻人构建更好的未来(4)

And young people are also telling me that they’re worried about violence. 年轻人还告诉我,他们担忧暴力。 At home, online, in school, in their communities. And again, they’re right. 在家中、网上、学校、他们的社区。这一点上,他们又对了。 A young person can have hundreds of friends on social media, 一个年轻人在社交媒体上可能会有上百个好友, but wh...

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TED演讲:如何开启开源想象力(7)

Or you can find it in arts projects. So this is the txtBomber. 另外也有在艺术方面的应用。这是一台叫txtBomber的机器。 So you put a message into this device and then you roll it on the wall, 将信息输进这台机器,然后将其滚过墙面, and it basically has all these solenoids pressing the buttons on spray cans, 因为它带有电导管,能触发喷雾开关, so you just pull i...

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