TED演讲之伟大预言 彼得·迪曼蒂斯: 我们的未来将会是富足的(3)
Underpinning much of this is technology, and of late, exponentially growing technologies.
而这一切的基础是科技。和近代指数式增长的科技。
My good friend Ray Kurzweil showed that any tool that becomes an information technology jumps on this curve,
我的好朋友雷·库兹威尔展示了任何信息科技的工具 都遵从这条曲线，
on Moore's Law, and experiences price performance doubling every 12 to 24 months.
即摩尔定律。并经历每12到24个月性价比翻一倍的增长。
That's why the cellphone in your pocket is literally a million times cheaper and a thousand times faster than a supercomputer of the '70s.
这就是为什么你口袋里的行动电话，相比70年代的超级电脑要便宜100万倍，而且还要快上1000倍
Now look at this curve. This is Moore's Law over the last hundred years. I want you to notice two things from this curve.
再看这个曲线。这是过去几百年里的摩尔定律。我想要大家注意这曲线所体现的2件事
Number one, how smooth it is — through good time and bad time, war time and peace time, recession, depression and boom time.
第一，它非常的平滑－无论时代是好是坏，无论战争或和平，经济衰退或增长。
This is the result of faster computers being used to build faster computers. It doesn't slow for any of our grand challenges.
这是因为更快的电脑被用来制造更更快的电脑所产生的结果。它不会因为我们面临的巨大挑战所延缓。
And also, even though it's plotted on a log curve on the left, it's curving upwards.
尽管在左边呈现出对数曲线它也是仍然是向上弯曲。
The rate at which the technology is getting faster is itself getting faster.
科技前进加速的本身也在不断变快。
And on this curve, riding on Moore's Law, are a set of extraordinarily powerful technologies available to all of us.
在这摩尔定律的曲线上，是一系列对所有人都开放的强大的科技。
Cloud computing, what my friends at Autodesk call infinite computing; sensors and networks; robotics; 3D printing,
云计算，我在Autodesk公司的朋友称之为无限计算；传感器和网络，机器人；3D打印，
which is the ability to democratize and distribute personalized production around the planet; synthetic biology; fuels, vaccines and foods;
让我们获得在全世界范围普及和部署个性化生产的能力；人造生命；带来新的燃料，疫苗和食物；
digital medicine; nanomaterials; and A.I. I mean, how many of you saw the winning of Jeopardy by IBM's Watson?
数字化医药；纳米材料和人工智能。观众中多少人看到了IBM的Watson超级电脑在Jeopardy智力竞赛的获胜？
I mean, that was epic. In fact, I scoured the headlines looking for the best headline in a newspaper I could.
那真是太伟大了。我查看各种报纸的新闻头条找到我觉得最好的
And I love this: "Watson Vanquishes Human Opponents." Jeopardy's not an easy game.
我喜欢这句：”Watson征服人类对手。“Jeopardy不是个容易的比赛。
It's about the nuance of human language. And imagine if you would A.I.'s like this on the cloud available to every person with a cellphone.
获胜关键在于理解人类语言中的微妙细节。你可以想象一下，像这样的人工智能存在于云计算中所有拥有行动电话的人都可以使用的景象。
演讲简介：
TED2012的讲台上，彼得迪曼蒂斯解释保持乐观的理由－我们会发明，创新以及创造新的方法来解决目前面临的种种挑战。“我的意思不是说这些问题不存在，但最终，我们会消除它们。
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