金墉美国东北大学(2)

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A recent study by a group of psychologists in the journal Science

几位心理学家最近在《科学》杂志上发表了一篇研究论文

found that people are extremely poor at predicting their futures

他们发现人极其不擅长预测自己的未来

The study showed

他们的研究显示

that, for example, a typical 20-year-old woman's predictions

例如 一个典型的20岁女性

for life changes in the next decade of her life

对自己未来十年人生变化的预测

were not nearly as radical

绝不像一个典型的

as the typical 30-year-old woman's recollection of how much she had changed in her 20s

30岁女性对自己在20来岁时有多大变化的回忆那么激进

In other words, 20-year-olds had little idea of

换句话说 20岁的人对于自己

just how much they would change over the next ten years

在未来十年会有多大变化几乎没有概念

This discrepancy persisted among respondents all the way into their 60s

这种差异在受访者中一直延续到60多岁的人

This study's findings are essentially the story of my life

这项研究结果基本上也是我的人生故事

In fact, even before I was born, given the obstacles my parents faced

事实上 即使在我出生之前 鉴于我父母所面临的重重障碍

I would never have predicted that, in fact, I would be born

事实上我都不敢预测我会出生

My father spent his childhood in North Korea

我的父亲在朝鲜度过了他的童年

At the age of 17, he escaped across the border into South Korea

他在17岁那年偷越边境逃到韩国

leaving his parents, his brothers and sisters, his entire extended family —

离开他的父母 他的兄弟姐妹 他的所有亲朋好友

everything he had ever known —

离开了他所熟悉的一切

He had no money. Still

他身无分文 但是

somehow he managed to enroll in the Seoul National University Dental School

他还是设法进了首尔国立大学牙科学院

and became a dentist

后来成为一名牙医

He told me stories about how he had so little money

他告诉我 他口袋里只有一点点钱

he often could only afford to buy lunch from the illegal noodle vendors in the street

常常只能买得起街上非法小摊贩卖的面条当午餐

人物简介

本视频是比尔·盖茨和夫人梅琳达·盖茨在斯坦福大学2014年毕业典礼上的演讲。整个演讲以“乐观”为主线,强调了他们对科技的乐观态度,以及对世界美好未来的乐观态度。盖茨夫妇轮流讲述了自己的亲身经历和故事,告诉学生应该站在他人的立场上,感同身受那些处境不及自己的人,尽自己所能去帮助那些需要帮助的人,让全世界所有人类同胞都有一样的美好未来。


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