TED演讲:解读灰犀牛:如何应对大概率危机(6)
But we have the opportunity and the ability to correct those blind spots.
但是我们有能力和机会去矫正那些盲点。
I spend a lot of time talking with people of all walks of life about the gray rhinos in their life and their attitudes.
我花了很多时间和各行各业的人交流关于他们人生中的“灰犀牛”和他们对此的态度。
And you might think that the people who are more afraid of risk, who are more sensitive to them,
你可能会认为那些更加害怕去冒险的人,那些对事情更敏感的人,
would be the ones who would be less open to change. But the opposite is actually true.
会更难接受变动。但是事实恰恰相反。
I’ve found that the people who are wiling to recognize the problems around them
我发现那些更愿意认识到他们身边的问题,
and make plans are the ones who are able to tolerate more risk, good risk, and deal with the bad risk.
并且做出计划的人,才是更能够承受风险,好的风险,并解决坏风险的人。
And it’s because as we seek information, we increase our power to do something about the things that we’re afraid of.
这是因为我们在寻找信息时,我们会提高自己解决那些自己害怕的事情的能力。
And that brings me to my third point. How much control do you feel that you have over the gray rhinos in your life?
这就引出了我的第三个观点。你对你人生中“灰犀牛”的把控有多少?
One of the reasons we don’t act is that we often feel too helpless.
一个我们很少表现出来的原因,就是我们经常感到无助。
Think of climate change, it can feel so big, that not a single one of us could make a difference.
考虑到气候变化的时候,它是一件如此大的事情,并不是我们中的任何一人可以独自解决的。
米歇尔·沃克拥有莱斯大学的法语和政策研究学士学位以及哥伦比亚大学国际事务硕士学位,她是美国作家,评论家和政策分析家,Gray Rhino公司创始人,专门研究世界经济和危机预期。为什么我们常常忽视那些大问题直到时间太晚,比如经济危机,气候变化?作为政策策略家她鼓励我们用“灰犀牛”——那些可以预防却被我们忽视的危险,去替代“黑天鹅”的神话——小概率、无法预见又无法避免的灾难。她向我们展示了为什么可遇见的危机仍让我们意外——并且给出了一些信息,有可能有一个”犀牛”正支配你的生活。