TED演讲之伟大预言 伯特·鲁坦: 预见太空未来(5)
Well, first of all, what's going to happen next? The first industry will be a high volume, a lot of players.
那么，首先，接下来会发生什么？第一产业将会数量巨大，参与者众多。
There's another one announced just last week. And it will be sub-orbital.
上周有另一个公司宣布它们可以。这次飞行将会是亚轨道。
And the reason it has to be sub-orbital is, there is not solutions for adequate safety to fly the public to orbit.
亚轨道的原因是，没有保证充分安全的方法可以带领大众飞至轨道。
The governments have been doing this — three governments have been doing this for 45 years, and still four percent of the people that have left the atmosphere have died.
一些国家的政府正在这样做– 有三个政府已经这么做了45年，仍然有百分之四十的人命丧太空。
That's — You don't want to run a business with that kind of a safety record. It'll be very high volume; we think 100,000 people will fly by 2020.
那是–你不想经营一项有这种安全记录的事业。它的量会变得很大；我们认为到2020年将会有100000人进行太空飞行。
I can't tell you when this will start, because I don't want my competition to know my schedule.
我不能告诉你太空旅行何时开始，因为我不想我的竞争者知道我的计划。
But I think once it does, we will find solutions, and very quickly, you'll see those resort hotels in orbit.
但我认为一旦开始，我们将会找到解决方案。并且很快，你将在轨道上看到旅游旅店。
And that real easy thing to do, which is a swing around the moon so you have this cool view.
去月球上绕一圈是非常容易做到的事情，因为你能看到非常酷的景象。
And that will be really cool. Because the moon doesn't have an atmosphere — you can do an elliptical orbit and miss it by 10 feet if you want. Oh, it's going to be so much fun.
那确实会很酷。因为月球没有大气层环绕– 如果你愿意，你可以绕误差在10英尺的椭圆形轨道飞行。噢，那会非常有趣。
OK. My critics say, "Hey, Rutan's just spending a lot of these billionaires' money for joyrides for billionaires.
好。批评我的人说，“嘿，鲁坦，只是花着这些亿万富翁的钱，为其创造游览飞行。
What's this? This is not a transportation system; it's just for fun."
这是什么？这不是运输系统，它只是用于消遣。”
And I used to be bothered by that, and then I got to thinking, well, wait a minute.
我过去常常因此而困扰，后来我开始思考。那么，等一下。
I bought my first Apple computer in 1978 and I bought it because I could say,
我带来了我的第一台1978年的苹果电脑，我把它带来因为我可以说，
"I got a computer at my house and you don't. 'What do you use it for?' Come over. It does Frogger." OK.
“我在家里有一台电脑，而你没有。‘用它做什么？’过来。它能玩青蛙过街。”好吧。
演讲简介：
在这篇热情洋溢的演讲中，传奇的宇宙飞船设计者伯特·鲁坦鞭笞美国停滞政府资助的空间探索项目，并呼吁企业家重拾这个美国国家宇航局中断的项目。
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